1. Use reach, not followers
Ask for recent average reach on the planned format. A follower count is not a delivery forecast.
Forecast buyers, CPA, ROAS, profit and the creator fee you can afford. Every input and formula is visible, including margin, LTV and usage rights.
No signup. No uploaded data. No hidden benchmark assumptions.
Expected scenario
Buyers
120
CPA
$25.00
ROAS
3.40x
LTV ROI
368.0%
First-order break-even creator fee
$6,130
Maximum creator fee after the rights cost, based on first-purchase gross profit.
LTV break-even creator fee
$13,540
Maximum creator fee after the rights cost, based on lifetime gross profit.
| Scenario | Buyers | CPA | ROAS | Break-even fee |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| conservative | 67.5 | $44.44 | 1.91x | $3,229 |
| expected | 120 | $25.00 | 3.40x | $6,130 |
| optimistic | 187.5 | $16.00 | 5.31x | $9,859 |
Many influencer ROI calculators ask for revenue after the campaign, which only reports what already happened. This model works before a contract is signed. It turns the creator's expected reach into a buyer forecast, then tests the fee against your actual unit economics.
Reach × engagement rate
Reach × CTR
Clicks × conversion rate
(creator fee + rights cost) ÷ buyers
first-order revenue ÷ total campaign cost
(gross profit − total campaign cost) ÷ total campaign cost
gross profit − usage-rights cost
0.75×, 1× or 1.25× applied to ER, CTR and CVR; rates cap at 100%
Ask for recent average reach on the planned format. A follower count is not a delivery forecast.
Price organic posting, paid usage and creator-handle ads separately so the cost matches the licence.
ROAS can look healthy while low margin produces a loss. Use gross margin and LTV to test payback.
Need a reliable engagement input? Start with the engagement rate calculator. For the full reasoning behind the funnel, read the real audience model. When the deal works, define payment and licensing in the influencer contract builder.